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Flattened Yield Curve

Moneyzine Editor
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Moneyzine Editor
2 mins
January 18th, 2024
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Flattened Yield Curve

Definition

The financial investing term flattened yield curve refers to a line plot that runs parallel to the x-axis, indicating rates that do not vary with maturity. A flattened yield curve is a very rare event; since it indicates both short and long-term debt provide the investor with the same return. A flattened curve for debt securities, such as those issued by the U.S. Treasury Department, can occur as yields shift between normal and inverted.

Explanation

Also known as the term structure of interest rates, yield curves are typically used depict the relationship between interest rates and the time to maturity of a debt security such as a bond. The shape of the curve provides the analyst-investor with insights into the future expectations for interest rates, as well as a possible increase or decrease in macroeconomic activity. Yield curves are simple line plots showing the term, or maturity, on the x-axis (horizontal axis) and the corresponding rate of interest, or yield, on the y-axis (vertical axis). When plotting a yield curve, the securities should be of similar, if not identical, credit quality.

As the illustration below demonstrates, a flattened yield curve has no slope; the returns on short and long term debt are exactly (nearly) the same. Yield curves that are flat are temporary events, typically occurring during transitions between normal and inverted curves. As such, it cannot be explained by market theories.

For example, if the returns on two and ten year debt were the same, individuals would not choose to invest in the longer-term security, since they are not being compensated for the additional risk they're assuming. This lack of investor interest would eventually drive the returns on longer-term securities higher.

Example

The following illustration demonstrates the shape of a normal versus flattened yield curve.

Related Terms

The financial investing term yield curve refers to a line plot showing the term, or maturity, on the x-axis and the corresponding rate of interest, or yield, on the y-axis. Yield curves are oftentimes used to compare interest rates on bonds such as debt securities issued by the U.S. Treasury Department, which have maturities that range from one month to thirty years.
Moneyzine Editor
Moneyzine Editor
September 21st, 2023
The financial investing term normal yield curve refers to an upward sloping line plot used to illustrate the interest rate differences between short and long-term debt instruments. Debt securities issued by the U.S. Treasury Department typically exhibit a normal yield curve, whereby the interest rates paid on securities with shorter maturities is lower than rates paid on debt with longer maturities.
Moneyzine Editor
Moneyzine Editor
September 20th, 2023
Inverted Yield Curve
The financial investing term inverted yield curve refers to a downward sloping line plot used to illustrate the interest rate differences between short and long-term debt instruments. An inverted yield curve is a rare event, since it indicates short-term rates are higher than longer-term rates. When debt securities issued by the U.S. Treasury Department result in an inverted curve, it's deemed a signal the economy is about to enter a recession.
Moneyzine Editor
Moneyzine Editor
January 22nd, 2024
The financial investing term steep yield curve refers to a rapidly upward sloping line plot used to illustrate the difference between short and long-term debt instruments at various maturities. A steep yield curve is a variation of the normal yield curve, possessing the same basic properties; whereby the interest rates paid on securities with shorter maturities is lower than rates paid on debt with longer maturities.
Moneyzine Editor
Moneyzine Editor
September 21st, 2023
Humped Yield Curve
The financial investing term humped yield curve refers to a bell-shaped curve, indicating mid-term rates that exceed both long and short term rates. When debt of similar credit quality, such as that issued by the U.S. Treasury Department, result in a humped yield curve it's typically interpreted as a slowing of the economy.
Moneyzine Editor
Moneyzine Editor
September 20th, 2023
Backwardation
The financial investing term backwardation refers to a market condition where the current price of a futures contract is lower than the anticipated spot price at maturity. Backwardation is considered an unusual market condition; the normal form of this relationship is known as contango.
Moneyzine Editor
Moneyzine Editor
January 8th, 2024
Contango
The financial investing term contango refers to a market condition where the current price of a futures contract is higher than the anticipated spot price at maturity. Contango is considered a normal market condition, while an unusual form of this relationship is known as backwardation.
Moneyzine Editor
Moneyzine Editor
January 11th, 2024

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